Narendra modi led NDA is handed a majority and guess what!!! It is a rock
solid government never seen since 30 years. NaMo after he is sworn in and
settles down is sure to face increased aggression from Pakistan. If the first
few days pass without any eventuality like riots or something then these are
the statistics that would show up after 5 years. Let us see which ones are easier
or more difficult to achieve.
1) 1 USD= 38 rupees. This is probably the best
possible outcome but a lot would depend on how our exports perform. It is a
realistic target. Indian currency is expected to appreciate even without a BJP
government but a target like this is a medium term goal. Intrinsic value of
rupee looking at PPP is somewhere around 14-16 per dollar. If economy improves
it may achieve even more.
2) India Shall be a manufacturing hub for
consumer electronics, heavy machinery,
pharmaceuticals, automobiles, defence arms and ammunitions. This too is
easy to achieve since India is already almost there in pharmaceuticals and
automobiles.
3) Indian Export Business 450 billion USD per
year. Current exports are near 300 billion per year. So exports of 450
billion by 2019 means a growth of 8.5 percent every year which is quite
achievable. Current export growth is near 5-6 percent with wide variation. If
volatility is curbed and sustainable increase in exports is achieved then it
would mean a lot.
4) At least 30 universities shall fall under
top 100 universities all over the world. Among all the targets this one is
probably the most difficult to achieve. Rome was not built in a day. Not even a
single Indian university appears in the top 100 currently. Education is
something the BJP government is going to work on a lot.
5) Indian Agricultural growth with continuous
8-10% of growth every year. This has already been achieved in Gujarat and
will not be difficult to replicate in the whole of India.
6) India shall produce cheapest and quality
materials in all over the world. This target is something that is vague and
without clear goal post. So it goes more as rhetoric than anything material.
7) Every Indian soldier shall have original
bullet proof jackets. This too needs to be taken with a pinch of salt. It
is not clear if the bullet proof jackets with soldiers currently are original.
And it is not clear who or how achievement of this goal post be measured.
8) Every Indian soldier shall have best and
advanced arms. This is something more measurable than the earlier one and
would definitely be a welcome change but still a vague goal post.
9) To create
at least 20 crore employment and convert 20 crore people from BPL to APL. Among
all the goals if this is achieved it would be like “sone pe suhaga”(hindi).
Pretty difficult but achievable. Current Five year plan speaks of creating 10
crore jobs in the plan period and achieving twice that may be herculean.
~~~~ALL THE BEST~~~~
