Wednesday, January 24, 2018

Indian Census is passé - Go for Digital Census in 2021

In the times of Aadhaar and Digital India does Census even have any meaning? I mean since the colonial times(1871 to be exact) Indians have been counted to keep track of the population. The most recent census was the 15th held in the year 2011. After the Aadhaar project was launched in 2010 Sept 30th nearly 88% of the population has been allotted an Aadhaar number.

Every 10 years school teachers are faced with enormous task of door-to-door survey in an area near their school. It is an onerous task which apart from election duties saps the energies of the teachers. The consumer affairs and public distribution department keeps track of families as a unit. There are other departments too like the health department which may be interested in ensuring family planning and hence keep records of the people. These demographic information collected during census does not go beyond data collection and analysis. Rarely is data from census used in any meaningful way as part of planning for welfare. 

Planning and Implementation of Digital Census

Census data being collected at the family level, there should be a Data Collection Standards Committee which decides what data needs to be mandatory and what is optional. Next a digital database created which could be populated with census data collected from every enumerator. The digital census is not a new concept and it has been implemented in many other countries.

If aadhaar database is maintained well it would seem that there would not be any necessity of having a Census at all. Births and Deaths would be reflected in the aadhaar database. If aadhaar numbers of family members are collected during census and actual number of families or dwelling units counted it would aid in better targeting of subsidies.

Targeting of Subsidies to a Family

Since every family would be counted, this can make India a data rich nation. Epidemiological studies, Internal migration, econometric analysis etc can aid the government in reaching the masses in distress for help.

Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Aadhaar for Dummies

Aadhaar has become such a complicated technology that it would need elucidation by the leading lights of the day. 

First up - It was just beyond the reach of the critics to understand its benefits. Secondly they were hankering for a full stop to the project arguing that it endangers people's right to life. They definitely need to read this book called "Aadhaar for Dummies".

Dummy aadhaar numbers such as the Virtual-ID has further complicated the technology and it sometimes becomes difficult to convince the ordinary citizens that it was for their own good.


Can we predict farmer distress and prevent farmer suicides

This can definitely be done with the help of machine learning if the data for all the farmers who had taken the loans is available at hand.Different attributes can be taken into account while creating a model that predicts the probability of a farmer suicide like the crop for which they are taking loan, season, success rate of the crop, water availability at the given region etc and once the model is ready one can predict the suicide of the farmer.